Final Score: Reds 1 - Phillies 5
Saturday, July 5, 2025 at 4:05 PM ET
Reds @ Phillies
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Reds | Phillies |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 285 | 237 |
| Last 5 meetings | 3 | 2 |
| Average runs | 4.5 | 4.4 |
| Last meeting | 9 | 6 |
| Stat | Reds | Phillies |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 88 | 88 |
| Avg runs scored | 4.7 | 4.6 |
| Avg runs conceded | 4.3 | 4.0 |
| Win percentage | 52% | 58% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 49% | 64% |
Recent Results
Reds
@ Philadelphia Phillies
Jul 4, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 15
9-6
@ Boston Red Sox
Jul 2, 2025 · Margin: +4 · Total: 12
8-4
@ Boston Red Sox
Jul 1, 2025 · Margin: -2 · Total: 8
3-5
@ Boston Red Sox
Jun 30, 2025 · Margin: -7 · Total: 19
6-13
vs San Diego Padres
Jun 29, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
vs San Diego Padres
Jun 28, 2025 · Margin: -2 · Total: 10
4-6
vs San Diego Padres
Jun 27, 2025 · Margin: +7 · Total: 9
8-1
vs New York Yankees
Jun 25, 2025 · Margin: -6 · Total: 8
1-7
vs New York Yankees
Jun 24, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 9
5-4
vs New York Yankees
Jun 23, 2025 · Margin: +5 · Total: 7
6-1
Phillies
vs Cincinnati Reds
Jul 4, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 15
6-9
vs San Diego Padres
Jul 2, 2025 · Margin: +4 · Total: 6
5-1
vs San Diego Padres
Jul 2, 2025 · Margin: -2 · Total: 10
4-6
vs San Diego Padres
Jun 30, 2025 · Margin: +4 · Total: 4
4-0
@ Atlanta Braves
Jun 29, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 3
2-1
@ Atlanta Braves
Jun 28, 2025 · Margin: -5 · Total: 7
1-6
@ Atlanta Braves
Jun 27, 2025 · Margin: +13 · Total: 13
13-0
@ Houston Astros
Jun 26, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 3
1-2
@ Houston Astros
Jun 25, 2025 · Margin: -2 · Total: 2
0-2
@ Houston Astros
Jun 24, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 1
0-1