Final Score: Orioles 0 - Phillies 5
Tuesday, August 5, 2025 at 6:45 PM ET

Orioles @ Phillies

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Orioles
51-62 Rating 1503
Form: LLWLL
Model Probability
41%
59%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +0.7
Phillies
64-48 Rating 1547
Form: LWLWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Orioles Phillies
All-time wins 40 34
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 5.2 4.6
Last meeting 3 13

Key Season Stats

Stat Orioles Phillies
Games played 113 112
Avg runs scored 4.4 4.7
Avg runs conceded 5.1 4.0
Win percentage 45% 57%
Away win % / Home win % 41% 64%