Final Score: Marlins 4 - Guardians 9
Thursday, August 14, 2025 at 6:40 PM ET

Marlins @ Guardians

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Marlins
58-62 Rating 1476
Form: LLLLW
Model Probability
42%
58%
Projected margin: Cleveland Guardians +0.6
Guardians
62-57 Rating 1514
Form: WWLWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Marlins Guardians
All-time wins 19 18
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 3.9 4.1
Last meeting 13 4

Key Season Stats

Stat Marlins Guardians
Games played 120 119
Avg runs scored 4.3 4.0
Avg runs conceded 4.8 4.2
Win percentage 48% 52%
Away win % / Home win % 49% 52%