Final Score: Astros 4 - Marlins 6
Wednesday, August 6, 2025 at 4:40 PM ET
Astros @ Marlins
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Astros | Marlins |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 90 | 81 |
| Last 5 meetings | 5 | 0 |
| Average runs | 4.6 | 4.3 |
| Last meeting | 7 | 3 |
| Stat | Astros | Marlins |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 114 | 112 |
| Avg runs scored | 4.3 | 4.3 |
| Avg runs conceded | 3.9 | 4.7 |
| Win percentage | 56% | 49% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 53% | 47% |
Recent Results
Astros
@ Miami Marlins
Aug 5, 2025 · Margin: +4 · Total: 10
7-3
@ Miami Marlins
Aug 4, 2025 · Margin: +6 · Total: 10
8-2
@ Boston Red Sox
Aug 3, 2025 · Margin: -5 · Total: 7
1-6
@ Boston Red Sox
Aug 2, 2025 · Margin: -4 · Total: 10
3-7
@ Boston Red Sox
Aug 1, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 3
1-2
vs Washington Nationals
Jul 30, 2025 · Margin: +8 · Total: 10
9-1
vs Washington Nationals
Jul 29, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 11
7-4
vs Washington Nationals
Jul 28, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 3
1-2
vs Athletics
Jul 27, 2025 · Margin: -6 · Total: 8
1-7
vs Athletics
Jul 26, 2025 · Margin: -4 · Total: 6
1-5
Marlins
vs Houston Astros
Aug 5, 2025 · Margin: -4 · Total: 10
3-7
vs Houston Astros
Aug 4, 2025 · Margin: -6 · Total: 10
2-8
vs New York Yankees
Aug 3, 2025 · Margin: +4 · Total: 10
7-3
vs New York Yankees
Aug 2, 2025 · Margin: +2 · Total: 2
2-0
vs New York Yankees
Aug 1, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 25
13-12
@ St. Louis Cardinals
Jul 30, 2025 · Margin: +2 · Total: 2
2-0
@ St. Louis Cardinals
Jul 29, 2025 · Margin: +5 · Total: 5
5-0
@ St. Louis Cardinals
Jul 28, 2025 · Margin: -6 · Total: 8
1-7
@ Milwaukee Brewers
Jul 27, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3
@ Milwaukee Brewers
Jul 26, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 11
7-4