Final Score: Astros 1 - Red Sox 2
Friday, August 1, 2025 at 7:10 PM ET

Astros @ Red Sox

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Astros
62-47 Rating 1543
Form: LLLWW
Model Probability
50%
50%
Projected margin: Houston Astros +0.1
Red Sox
59-51 Rating 1515
Form: WWLWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Astros Red Sox
All-time wins 48 49
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 5.0 5.0
Last meeting 1 4

Key Season Stats

Stat Astros Red Sox
Games played 109 110
Avg runs scored 4.3 5.0
Avg runs conceded 3.9 4.3
Win percentage 57% 54%
Away win % / Home win % 54% 62%