Final Score: Astros 6 - Diamondbacks 3
Monday, July 21, 2025 at 9:40 PM ET

Astros @ Diamondbacks

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Astros
57-42 Rating 1548
Form: WLLLW
Model Probability
50%
50%
Projected margin: Houston Astros +0.1
Diamondbacks
50-50 Rating 1514
Form: LWWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Astros Diamondbacks
All-time wins 69 80
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average runs 4.8 4.9
Last meeting 6 12

Key Season Stats

Stat Astros Diamondbacks
Games played 99 100
Avg runs scored 4.4 5.2
Avg runs conceded 3.8 5.0
Win percentage 58% 50%
Away win % / Home win % 51% 51%