Final Score: Rangers 7 - Astros 3
Friday, July 11, 2025 at 8:10 PM ET

Rangers @ Astros

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Rangers
46-48 Rating 1491
Form: LLWLW
Model Probability
39%
61%
Projected margin: Houston Astros +0.9
Astros
55-38 Rating 1553
Form: WWLLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Rangers Astros
All-time wins 146 144
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.8 4.7
Last meeting 3 4

Key Season Stats

Stat Rangers Astros
Games played 94 93
Avg runs scored 4.0 4.4
Avg runs conceded 3.6 3.7
Win percentage 49% 59%
Away win % / Home win % 41% 65%