Final Score: Astros 6 - Dodgers 4
Saturday, July 5, 2025 at 7:15 PM ET

Astros @ Dodgers

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Astros
53-35 Rating 1556
Form: WWWLW
Model Probability
42%
58%
Projected margin: Los Angeles Dodgers +0.6
Dodgers
56-33 Rating 1592
Form: WWWWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Astros Dodgers
All-time wins 287 328
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average runs 3.9 4.0
Last meeting 18 1

Key Season Stats

Stat Astros Dodgers
Games played 88 89
Avg runs scored 4.4 5.6
Avg runs conceded 3.6 4.6
Win percentage 60% 63%
Away win % / Home win % 50% 69%