Final Score: Astros 18 - Dodgers 1
Friday, July 4, 2025 at 9:10 PM ET

Astros @ Dodgers

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Astros
52-35 Rating 1553
Form: LWWWL
Model Probability
41%
59%
Projected margin: Los Angeles Dodgers +0.7
Dodgers
56-32 Rating 1594
Form: LWWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Astros Dodgers
All-time wins 286 328
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 3.9 4.0
Last meeting 2 6

Key Season Stats

Stat Astros Dodgers
Games played 87 88
Avg runs scored 4.2 5.6
Avg runs conceded 3.7 4.5
Win percentage 60% 64%
Away win % / Home win % 49% 70%