Final Score: Astros 3 - Diamondbacks 1
Tuesday, July 22, 2025 at 9:40 PM ET

Astros @ Diamondbacks

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Astros
58-42 Rating 1550
Form: LLLWW
Model Probability
51%
49%
Projected margin: Houston Astros +0.2
Diamondbacks
50-51 Rating 1512
Form: WWWWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Astros Diamondbacks
All-time wins 70 80
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average runs 4.8 4.9
Last meeting 6 3

Key Season Stats

Stat Astros Diamondbacks
Games played 100 101
Avg runs scored 4.4 5.1
Avg runs conceded 3.8 5.0
Win percentage 58% 50%
Away win % / Home win % 52% 50%