Final Score: Red Sox 2 - Phillies 3
Monday, July 21, 2025 at 6:45 PM ET
Red Sox @ Phillies
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Red Sox | Phillies |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 52 | 35 |
| Last 5 meetings | 3 | 2 |
| Average runs | 5.4 | 4.3 |
| Last meeting | 9 | 3 |
| Stat | Red Sox | Phillies |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 101 | 99 |
| Avg runs scored | 4.9 | 4.6 |
| Avg runs conceded | 4.4 | 4.0 |
| Win percentage | 53% | 57% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 45% | 63% |
Recent Results
Red Sox
@ Chicago Cubs
Jul 20, 2025 · Margin: +5 · Total: 7
6-1
@ Chicago Cubs
Jul 19, 2025 · Margin: -6 · Total: 6
0-6
@ Chicago Cubs
Jul 18, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 5
1-4
vs Tampa Bay Rays
Jul 13, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 5
4-1
vs Tampa Bay Rays
Jul 12, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 1
1-0
vs Tampa Bay Rays
Jul 11, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 9
5-4
vs Tampa Bay Rays
Jul 10, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3
vs Colorado Rockies
Jul 9, 2025 · Margin: +8 · Total: 12
10-2
vs Colorado Rockies
Jul 8, 2025 · Margin: +8 · Total: 12
10-2
vs Colorado Rockies
Jul 7, 2025 · Margin: +6 · Total: 12
9-3
Phillies
vs Los Angeles Angels
Jul 20, 2025 · Margin: -6 · Total: 10
2-8
vs Los Angeles Angels
Jul 19, 2025 · Margin: +4 · Total: 14
9-5
vs Los Angeles Angels
Jul 18, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 11
5-6
@ San Diego Padres
Jul 13, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 3
2-1
@ San Diego Padres
Jul 12, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 9
4-5
@ San Diego Padres
Jul 11, 2025 · Margin: -2 · Total: 6
2-4
@ San Francisco Giants
Jul 9, 2025 · Margin: +13 · Total: 13
13-0
@ San Francisco Giants
Jul 8, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 7
3-4
@ San Francisco Giants
Jul 7, 2025 · Margin: -2 · Total: 4
1-3
vs Cincinnati Reds
Jul 6, 2025 · Margin: +2 · Total: 4
3-1