Final Score: Red Sox 0 - Cubs 6
Saturday, July 19, 2025 at 7:15 PM ET

Red Sox @ Cubs

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Red Sox
53-46 Rating 1511
Form: WWWWL
Model Probability
43%
57%
Projected margin: Chicago Cubs +0.5
Cubs
58-39 Rating 1535
Form: WLWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Red Sox Cubs
All-time wins 12 13
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 5.4 5.0
Last meeting 1 4

Key Season Stats

Stat Red Sox Cubs
Games played 99 97
Avg runs scored 5.0 5.3
Avg runs conceded 4.4 4.1
Win percentage 54% 60%
Away win % / Home win % 45% 66%