Final Score: Red Sox 6 - Nationals 4
Sunday, July 6, 2025 at 1:35 PM ET

Red Sox @ Nationals

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Red Sox
45-45 Rating 1499
Form: WWLWW
Model Probability
53%
47%
Projected margin: Boston Red Sox +0.3
Nationals
37-52 Rating 1445
Form: LWWLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Red Sox Nationals
All-time wins 28 16
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average runs 5.6 4.5
Last meeting 10 3

Key Season Stats

Stat Red Sox Nationals
Games played 90 89
Avg runs scored 4.9 4.4
Avg runs conceded 4.6 5.4
Win percentage 50% 42%
Away win % / Home win % 44% 40%