Final Score: Red Sox 1 - Cubs 4
Friday, July 18, 2025 at 2:20 PM ET

Red Sox @ Cubs

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Red Sox
53-45 Rating 1512
Form: WWWWW
Model Probability
44%
56%
Projected margin: Chicago Cubs +0.4
Cubs
57-39 Rating 1533
Form: LWLWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Red Sox Cubs
All-time wins 12 12
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 5.6 5.0
Last meeting 5 4

Key Season Stats

Stat Red Sox Cubs
Games played 98 96
Avg runs scored 5.0 5.3
Avg runs conceded 4.4 4.1
Win percentage 54% 59%
Away win % / Home win % 46% 65%