Final Score: Guardians 0 - Cubs 1
Thursday, July 3, 2025 at 8:05 PM ET

Guardians @ Cubs

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Guardians
40-44 Rating 1502
Form: LLLLL
Model Probability
43%
57%
Projected margin: Chicago Cubs +0.5
Cubs
51-35 Rating 1530
Form: LWLWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Guardians Cubs
All-time wins 23 22
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.1 4.7
Last meeting 4 5

Key Season Stats

Stat Guardians Cubs
Games played 84 86
Avg runs scored 3.7 5.4
Avg runs conceded 4.3 4.1
Win percentage 48% 59%
Away win % / Home win % 45% 64%