Final Score: Guardians 4 - Cubs 5
Wednesday, July 2, 2025 at 8:05 PM ET

Guardians @ Cubs

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Guardians
40-43 Rating 1504
Form: LLLLL
Model Probability
43%
57%
Projected margin: Chicago Cubs +0.5
Cubs
50-35 Rating 1528
Form: WLWLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Guardians Cubs
All-time wins 23 21
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average runs 4.1 4.7
Last meeting 2 5

Key Season Stats

Stat Guardians Cubs
Games played 83 85
Avg runs scored 3.7 5.4
Avg runs conceded 4.3 4.1
Win percentage 48% 59%
Away win % / Home win % 47% 63%