Final Score: Guardians 2 - Cubs 5
Tuesday, July 1, 2025 at 8:05 PM ET

Guardians @ Cubs

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Guardians
40-42 Rating 1506
Form: WLLLL
Model Probability
44%
56%
Projected margin: Chicago Cubs +0.4
Cubs
49-35 Rating 1526
Form: WWLWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Guardians Cubs
All-time wins 23 20
Last 5 meetings 5 0
Average runs 4.2 4.7
Last meeting 6 1

Key Season Stats

Stat Guardians Cubs
Games played 82 84
Avg runs scored 3.7 5.4
Avg runs conceded 4.3 4.2
Win percentage 49% 58%
Away win % / Home win % 48% 62%