Final Score: Yankees 12 - Marlins 13
Friday, August 1, 2025 at 7:10 PM ET

Yankees @ Marlins

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Yankees
60-49 Rating 1541
Form: WLWWW
Model Probability
54%
46%
Projected margin: New York Yankees +0.4
Marlins
52-55 Rating 1475
Form: WLLWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Yankees Marlins
All-time wins 24 22
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.2 4.0
Last meeting 2 5

Key Season Stats

Stat Yankees Marlins
Games played 109 107
Avg runs scored 5.2 4.2
Avg runs conceded 4.3 4.7
Win percentage 55% 49%
Away win % / Home win % 49% 45%