Final Score: Rays 4 - Yankees 2
Monday, July 28, 2025 at 7:05 PM ET

Rays @ Yankees

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Rays
53-53 Rating 1512
Form: WLLLL
Model Probability
43%
57%
Projected margin: New York Yankees +0.5
Yankees
57-48 Rating 1538
Form: WLLLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Rays Yankees
All-time wins 206 269
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.1 4.8
Last meeting 7 5

Key Season Stats

Stat Rays Yankees
Games played 106 105
Avg runs scored 4.6 5.2
Avg runs conceded 4.1 4.3
Win percentage 50% 54%
Away win % / Home win % 47% 60%