Final Score: Orioles 1 - Rays 11
Friday, July 18, 2025 at 7:35 PM ET

Orioles @ Rays

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Orioles
43-52 Rating 1506
Form: WWWLL
Model Probability
44%
56%
Projected margin: Tampa Bay Rays +0.4
Rays
50-47 Rating 1521
Form: WLLLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Orioles Rays
All-time wins 229 243
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.5 4.7
Last meeting 5 1

Key Season Stats

Stat Orioles Rays
Games played 95 97
Avg runs scored 4.1 4.6
Avg runs conceded 5.1 4.0
Win percentage 45% 52%
Away win % / Home win % 44% 53%