Final Score: Orioles 3 - Braves 2
Friday, July 4, 2025 at 7:15 PM ET
Orioles @ Braves
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Orioles | Braves |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 26 | 28 |
| Last 5 meetings | 2 | 3 |
| Average runs | 4.5 | 4.2 |
| Last meeting | 3 | 6 |
| Stat | Orioles | Braves |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 86 | 86 |
| Avg runs scored | 4.2 | 4.0 |
| Avg runs conceded | 5.2 | 3.9 |
| Win percentage | 43% | 45% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 40% | 56% |
Recent Results
Orioles
@ Texas Rangers
Jul 2, 2025 · Margin: -6 · Total: 6
0-6
@ Texas Rangers
Jul 1, 2025 · Margin: -8 · Total: 12
2-10
@ Texas Rangers
Jun 30, 2025 · Margin: +4 · Total: 16
10-6
vs Tampa Bay Rays
Jun 29, 2025 · Margin: +4 · Total: 6
5-1
vs Tampa Bay Rays
Jun 28, 2025 · Margin: -8 · Total: 14
3-11
vs Tampa Bay Rays
Jun 27, 2025 · Margin: +14 · Total: 30
22-8
vs Texas Rangers
Jun 25, 2025 · Margin: -7 · Total: 7
0-7
vs Texas Rangers
Jun 24, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 11
5-6
vs Texas Rangers
Jun 23, 2025 · Margin: +6 · Total: 6
6-0
@ New York Yankees
Jun 22, 2025 · Margin: -2 · Total: 6
2-4
Braves
vs Los Angeles Angels
Jul 3, 2025 · Margin: -4 · Total: 6
1-5
vs Los Angeles Angels
Jul 2, 2025 · Margin: +5 · Total: 11
8-3
vs Los Angeles Angels
Jul 1, 2025 · Margin: -4 · Total: 4
0-4
vs Philadelphia Phillies
Jun 29, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 3
1-2
vs Philadelphia Phillies
Jun 28, 2025 · Margin: +5 · Total: 7
6-1
vs Philadelphia Phillies
Jun 27, 2025 · Margin: -13 · Total: 13
0-13
@ New York Mets
Jun 26, 2025 · Margin: -4 · Total: 4
0-4
@ New York Mets
Jun 25, 2025 · Margin: -4 · Total: 10
3-7
@ New York Mets
Jun 24, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 11
7-4
@ New York Mets
Jun 23, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2