Final Score: Orioles 9 - Braves 6
Saturday, July 5, 2025 at 4:10 PM ET

Orioles @ Braves

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Orioles
38-49 Rating 1503
Form: WWLLW
Model Probability
44%
56%
Projected margin: Atlanta Braves +0.4
Braves
39-48 Rating 1517
Form: LLWLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Orioles Braves
All-time wins 27 28
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.5 4.2
Last meeting 3 2

Key Season Stats

Stat Orioles Braves
Games played 87 87
Avg runs scored 4.1 4.0
Avg runs conceded 5.1 3.9
Win percentage 44% 45%
Away win % / Home win % 41% 55%