Final Score: Orioles 3 - Rays 4
Saturday, July 19, 2025 at 7:05 PM ET
Orioles @ Rays
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Orioles | Rays |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 229 | 244 |
| Last 5 meetings | 3 | 2 |
| Average runs | 4.5 | 4.7 |
| Last meeting | 1 | 11 |
| Stat | Orioles | Rays |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 96 | 98 |
| Avg runs scored | 4.1 | 4.7 |
| Avg runs conceded | 5.1 | 4.0 |
| Win percentage | 45% | 52% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 43% | 54% |
Recent Results
Orioles
@ Tampa Bay Rays
Jul 18, 2025 · Margin: -10 · Total: 12
1-11
vs Miami Marlins
Jul 13, 2025 · Margin: -10 · Total: 12
1-11
vs Miami Marlins
Jul 12, 2025 · Margin: -6 · Total: 6
0-6
vs Miami Marlins
Jul 11, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 7
5-2
vs New York Mets
Jul 10, 2025 · Margin: +4 · Total: 10
7-3
vs New York Mets
Jul 10, 2025 · Margin: +2 · Total: 4
3-1
vs New York Mets
Jul 8, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 13
6-7
@ Atlanta Braves
Jul 6, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 3
2-1
@ Atlanta Braves
Jul 5, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 15
9-6
@ Atlanta Braves
Jul 4, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
Rays
vs Baltimore Orioles
Jul 18, 2025 · Margin: +10 · Total: 12
11-1
@ Boston Red Sox
Jul 13, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 5
1-4
@ Boston Red Sox
Jul 12, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 1
0-1
@ Boston Red Sox
Jul 11, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 9
4-5
@ Boston Red Sox
Jul 10, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 7
3-4
@ Detroit Tigers
Jul 9, 2025 · Margin: +4 · Total: 10
7-3
@ Detroit Tigers
Jul 8, 2025 · Margin: -2 · Total: 6
2-4
@ Detroit Tigers
Jul 7, 2025 · Margin: -4 · Total: 6
1-5
@ Minnesota Twins
Jul 6, 2025 · Margin: +2 · Total: 12
7-5
@ Minnesota Twins
Jul 5, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 11
5-6