Final Score: Orioles 5 - Rays 3
Sunday, July 20, 2025 at 12:10 PM ET

Orioles @ Rays

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Orioles
43-54 Rating 1503
Form: WLLLL
Model Probability
44%
56%
Projected margin: Tampa Bay Rays +0.4
Rays
52-47 Rating 1524
Form: LLLWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Orioles Rays
All-time wins 229 245
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.5 4.7
Last meeting 3 4

Key Season Stats

Stat Orioles Rays
Games played 97 99
Avg runs scored 4.1 4.7
Avg runs conceded 5.1 4.0
Win percentage 44% 53%
Away win % / Home win % 42% 55%