Final Score: Orioles 5 - Guardians 10
Monday, July 21, 2025 at 6:40 PM ET
Orioles @ Guardians
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Orioles | Guardians |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 303 | 301 |
| Last 5 meetings | 4 | 1 |
| Average runs | 4.5 | 4.3 |
| Last meeting | 6 | 2 |
| Stat | Orioles | Guardians |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 98 | 98 |
| Avg runs scored | 4.1 | 3.8 |
| Avg runs conceded | 5.1 | 4.2 |
| Win percentage | 45% | 49% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 43% | 48% |
Recent Results
Orioles
@ Tampa Bay Rays
Jul 20, 2025 · Margin: +2 · Total: 8
5-3
@ Tampa Bay Rays
Jul 19, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 7
3-4
@ Tampa Bay Rays
Jul 18, 2025 · Margin: -10 · Total: 12
1-11
vs Miami Marlins
Jul 13, 2025 · Margin: -10 · Total: 12
1-11
vs Miami Marlins
Jul 12, 2025 · Margin: -6 · Total: 6
0-6
vs Miami Marlins
Jul 11, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 7
5-2
vs New York Mets
Jul 10, 2025 · Margin: +4 · Total: 10
7-3
vs New York Mets
Jul 10, 2025 · Margin: +2 · Total: 4
3-1
vs New York Mets
Jul 8, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 13
6-7
@ Atlanta Braves
Jul 6, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 3
2-1
Guardians
vs Athletics
Jul 20, 2025 · Margin: +6 · Total: 10
8-2
vs Athletics
Jul 19, 2025 · Margin: -6 · Total: 10
2-8
vs Athletics
Jul 18, 2025 · Margin: +2 · Total: 14
8-6
@ Chicago White Sox
Jul 13, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 11
6-5
@ Chicago White Sox
Jul 12, 2025 · Margin: +4 · Total: 8
6-2
@ Chicago White Sox
Jul 11, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 9
4-5
@ Chicago White Sox
Jul 11, 2025 · Margin: +2 · Total: 6
4-2
@ Houston Astros
Jul 9, 2025 · Margin: +2 · Total: 6
4-2
@ Houston Astros
Jul 8, 2025 · Margin: +4 · Total: 16
10-6
@ Houston Astros
Jul 7, 2025 · Margin: +2 · Total: 12
7-5