Final Score: Orioles 3 - Guardians 6
Tuesday, July 22, 2025 at 6:40 PM ET

Orioles @ Guardians

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Orioles
44-55 Rating 1503
Form: LLLWL
Model Probability
46%
54%
Projected margin: Cleveland Guardians +0.3
Guardians
49-50 Rating 1506
Form: WWLWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Orioles Guardians
All-time wins 303 302
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.5 4.3
Last meeting 5 10

Key Season Stats

Stat Orioles Guardians
Games played 99 99
Avg runs scored 4.1 3.8
Avg runs conceded 5.2 4.2
Win percentage 44% 49%
Away win % / Home win % 42% 49%