Final Score: Mariners 11 - Mets 9
Friday, August 15, 2025 at 7:10 PM ET
Mariners @ Mets
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Mariners | Mets |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 16 | 8 |
| Last 5 meetings | 4 | 1 |
| Average runs | 5.5 | 2.8 |
| Last meeting | 12 | 1 |
| Stat | Mariners | Mets |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 122 | 121 |
| Avg runs scored | 4.5 | 4.4 |
| Avg runs conceded | 4.3 | 4.2 |
| Win percentage | 55% | 53% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 50% | 63% |
Recent Results
Mariners
@ Baltimore Orioles
Aug 14, 2025 · Margin: -2 · Total: 8
3-5
@ Baltimore Orioles
Aug 13, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 7
3-4
@ Baltimore Orioles
Aug 12, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 1
1-0
vs Tampa Bay Rays
Aug 10, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 9
6-3
vs Tampa Bay Rays
Aug 9, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 11
7-4
vs Tampa Bay Rays
Aug 8, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
vs Chicago White Sox
Aug 7, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3
vs Chicago White Sox
Aug 6, 2025 · Margin: +2 · Total: 14
8-6
vs Chicago White Sox
Aug 5, 2025 · Margin: +5 · Total: 11
8-3
vs Texas Rangers
Aug 3, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 9
5-4
Mets
vs Atlanta Braves
Aug 14, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 7
3-4
vs Atlanta Braves
Aug 13, 2025 · Margin: -5 · Total: 17
6-11
vs Atlanta Braves
Aug 12, 2025 · Margin: +8 · Total: 18
13-5
@ Milwaukee Brewers
Aug 10, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 13
6-7
@ Milwaukee Brewers
Aug 9, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 11
4-7
@ Milwaukee Brewers
Aug 8, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3
vs Cleveland Guardians
Aug 6, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 5
1-4
vs Cleveland Guardians
Aug 5, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3
vs Cleveland Guardians
Aug 4, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 13
6-7
vs San Francisco Giants
Aug 3, 2025 · Margin: -8 · Total: 16
4-12