Final Score: Dodgers 1 - Padres 5
Saturday, August 23, 2025 at 8:40 PM ET

Dodgers @ Padres

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Dodgers
73-56 Rating 1567
Form: LWLWL
Model Probability
48%
52%
Projected margin: San Diego Padres +0.1
Padres
73-56 Rating 1552
Form: LWWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Dodgers Padres
All-time wins 538 435
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.2 3.6
Last meeting 1 2

Key Season Stats

Stat Dodgers Padres
Games played 129 129
Avg runs scored 5.2 4.2
Avg runs conceded 4.5 3.7
Win percentage 57% 57%
Away win % / Home win % 50% 67%