Final Score: Giants 4 - Padres 8
Thursday, August 21, 2025 at 4:10 PM ET

Giants @ Padres

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Giants
61-66 Rating 1484
Form: LWWLL
Model Probability
39%
61%
Projected margin: San Diego Padres +0.9
Padres
71-56 Rating 1549
Form: LLLWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Giants Padres
All-time wins 497 460
Last 5 meetings 1 4
Average runs 4.3 4.1
Last meeting 1 8

Key Season Stats

Stat Giants Padres
Games played 127 127
Avg runs scored 4.0 4.2
Avg runs conceded 4.1 3.8
Win percentage 48% 56%
Away win % / Home win % 48% 66%