Final Score: Padres 4 - Giants 1
Monday, August 11, 2025 at 9:45 PM ET

Padres @ Giants

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Padres
66-52 Rating 1548
Form: WWLWW
Model Probability
53%
47%
Projected margin: San Diego Padres +0.3
Giants
59-59 Rating 1493
Form: WWWLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Padres Giants
All-time wins 455 496
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.1 4.4
Last meeting 2 3

Key Season Stats

Stat Padres Giants
Games played 118 118
Avg runs scored 4.1 4.1
Avg runs conceded 3.8 4.0
Win percentage 56% 50%
Away win % / Home win % 47% 51%