Final Score: Padres 10 - Diamondbacks 5
Tuesday, August 5, 2025 at 9:40 PM ET

Padres @ Diamondbacks

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Padres
62-51 Rating 1542
Form: WWLWL
Model Probability
51%
49%
Projected margin: San Diego Padres +0.2
Diamondbacks
54-59 Rating 1505
Form: LLWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Padres Diamondbacks
All-time wins 228 247
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.3 4.6
Last meeting 2 6

Key Season Stats

Stat Padres Diamondbacks
Games played 113 113
Avg runs scored 4.1 4.8
Avg runs conceded 3.8 4.9
Win percentage 55% 48%
Away win % / Home win % 45% 49%