Final Score: Padres 3 - Cardinals 1
Saturday, July 26, 2025 at 7:15 PM ET

Padres @ Cardinals

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Padres
55-49 Rating 1534
Form: WLLLL
Model Probability
50%
50%
Projected margin: San Diego Padres +0.1
Cardinals
54-51 Rating 1505
Form: WLLWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Padres Cardinals
All-time wins 216 314
Last 5 meetings 1 4
Average runs 3.7 4.5
Last meeting 0 3

Key Season Stats

Stat Padres Cardinals
Games played 104 105
Avg runs scored 4.0 4.5
Avg runs conceded 3.9 4.5
Win percentage 53% 51%
Away win % / Home win % 44% 61%