Final Score: Cardinals 1 - Padres 4
Friday, August 1, 2025 at 9:40 PM ET

Cardinals @ Padres

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Cardinals
55-55 Rating 1498
Form: LLWLL
Model Probability
41%
59%
Projected margin: San Diego Padres +0.7
Padres
60-49 Rating 1544
Form: WWWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Cardinals Padres
All-time wins 314 218
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.4 3.7
Last meeting 2 9

Key Season Stats

Stat Cardinals Padres
Games played 110 109
Avg runs scored 4.4 4.1
Avg runs conceded 4.5 3.8
Win percentage 50% 55%
Away win % / Home win % 43% 65%