Final Score: Red Sox 4 - Padres 5
Saturday, August 9, 2025 at 8:40 PM ET
Red Sox @ Padres
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Red Sox | Padres |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 18 | 10 |
| Last 5 meetings | 2 | 3 |
| Average runs | 4.3 | 3.2 |
| Last meeting | 10 | 2 |
| Stat | Red Sox | Padres |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 117 | 116 |
| Avg runs scored | 5.0 | 4.1 |
| Avg runs conceded | 4.3 | 3.9 |
| Win percentage | 56% | 55% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 46% | 64% |
Recent Results
Red Sox
@ San Diego Padres
Aug 8, 2025 · Margin: +8 · Total: 12
10-2
vs Kansas City Royals
Aug 6, 2025 · Margin: -4 · Total: 10
3-7
vs Kansas City Royals
Aug 5, 2025 · Margin: +4 · Total: 8
6-2
vs Kansas City Royals
Aug 4, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 13
8-5
vs Houston Astros
Aug 3, 2025 · Margin: +5 · Total: 7
6-1
vs Houston Astros
Aug 2, 2025 · Margin: +4 · Total: 10
7-3
vs Houston Astros
Aug 1, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 3
2-1
@ Minnesota Twins
Jul 30, 2025 · Margin: +12 · Total: 14
13-1
@ Minnesota Twins
Jul 29, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 13
8-5
@ Minnesota Twins
Jul 28, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 9
4-5
Padres
vs Boston Red Sox
Aug 8, 2025 · Margin: -8 · Total: 12
2-10
@ Arizona Diamondbacks
Aug 6, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
@ Arizona Diamondbacks
Aug 5, 2025 · Margin: +5 · Total: 15
10-5
@ Arizona Diamondbacks
Aug 4, 2025 · Margin: -4 · Total: 8
2-6
vs St. Louis Cardinals
Aug 3, 2025 · Margin: +4 · Total: 10
7-3
vs St. Louis Cardinals
Aug 2, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 13
5-8
vs St. Louis Cardinals
Aug 1, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 5
4-1
vs New York Mets
Jul 30, 2025 · Margin: +5 · Total: 5
5-0
vs New York Mets
Jul 29, 2025 · Margin: +6 · Total: 8
7-1
vs New York Mets
Jul 28, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 13
7-6