Final Score: Red Sox 2 - Padres 6
Sunday, August 10, 2025 at 4:10 PM ET

Red Sox @ Padres

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Red Sox
65-53 Rating 1522
Form: WWLWL
Model Probability
43%
57%
Projected margin: San Diego Padres +0.5
Padres
65-52 Rating 1546
Form: LWWLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Red Sox Padres
All-time wins 18 11
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.2 3.2
Last meeting 4 5

Key Season Stats

Stat Red Sox Padres
Games played 118 117
Avg runs scored 5.0 4.1
Avg runs conceded 4.3 3.9
Win percentage 55% 56%
Away win % / Home win % 46% 65%