Final Score: Mariners 2 - Rays 10
Monday, September 1, 2025 at 7:35 PM ET

Mariners @ Rays

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Mariners
73-64 Rating 1523
Form: LWLLW
Model Probability
48%
52%
Projected margin: Tampa Bay Rays +0.1
Rays
67-69 Rating 1509
Form: LLWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Mariners Rays
All-time wins 118 92
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average runs 4.4 4.1
Last meeting 6 3

Key Season Stats

Stat Mariners Rays
Games played 137 136
Avg runs scored 4.6 4.5
Avg runs conceded 4.4 4.1
Win percentage 53% 49%
Away win % / Home win % 46% 51%