Final Score: Phillies 3 - Diamondbacks 4
Saturday, September 20, 2025 at 8:10 PM ET

Phillies @ Diamondbacks

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Phillies
92-62 Rating 1566
Form: LWWLW
Model Probability
53%
47%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +0.3
Diamondbacks
77-77 Rating 1512
Form: WWWLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Phillies Diamondbacks
All-time wins 92 94
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.7 4.7
Last meeting 8 2

Key Season Stats

Stat Phillies Diamondbacks
Games played 154 154
Avg runs scored 4.9 4.9
Avg runs conceded 4.0 4.8
Win percentage 60% 50%
Away win % / Home win % 52% 53%