Final Score: Mets 3 - Phillies 9
Tuesday, September 9, 2025 at 6:45 PM ET

Mets @ Phillies

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Mets
76-68 Rating 1521
Form: LWLLL
Model Probability
42%
58%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +0.6
Phillies
84-60 Rating 1556
Form: WWWLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Mets Phillies
All-time wins 494 474
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.4 4.2
Last meeting 0 1

Key Season Stats

Stat Mets Phillies
Games played 144 144
Avg runs scored 4.8 4.7
Avg runs conceded 4.3 4.0
Win percentage 53% 58%
Away win % / Home win % 43% 67%