Final Score: Marlins 11 - Mets 8
Saturday, August 30, 2025 at 4:10 PM ET
Marlins @ Mets
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Marlins | Mets |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 244 | 290 |
| Last 5 meetings | 2 | 3 |
| Average runs | 4.0 | 4.6 |
| Last meeting | 9 | 19 |
| Stat | Marlins | Mets |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 135 | 135 |
| Avg runs scored | 4.3 | 4.7 |
| Avg runs conceded | 5.0 | 4.2 |
| Win percentage | 47% | 54% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 48% | 64% |
Recent Results
Marlins
@ New York Mets
Aug 29, 2025 · Margin: -10 · Total: 28
9-19
@ New York Mets
Aug 28, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 11
7-4
vs Atlanta Braves
Aug 27, 2025 · Margin: -11 · Total: 13
1-12
vs Atlanta Braves
Aug 26, 2025 · Margin: -9 · Total: 13
2-11
vs Atlanta Braves
Aug 25, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 3
2-1
vs Toronto Blue Jays
Aug 24, 2025 · Margin: +2 · Total: 8
5-3
vs Toronto Blue Jays
Aug 23, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 13
6-7
vs Toronto Blue Jays
Aug 22, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 7
2-5
vs St. Louis Cardinals
Aug 20, 2025 · Margin: +4 · Total: 8
6-2
vs St. Louis Cardinals
Aug 19, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 11
4-7
Mets
vs Miami Marlins
Aug 29, 2025 · Margin: +10 · Total: 28
19-9
vs Miami Marlins
Aug 28, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 11
4-7
vs Philadelphia Phillies
Aug 27, 2025 · Margin: +6 · Total: 6
6-0
vs Philadelphia Phillies
Aug 26, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 11
6-5
vs Philadelphia Phillies
Aug 25, 2025 · Margin: +10 · Total: 16
13-3
@ Atlanta Braves
Aug 24, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 7
3-4
@ Atlanta Braves
Aug 23, 2025 · Margin: +7 · Total: 11
9-2
@ Atlanta Braves
Aug 22, 2025 · Margin: +5 · Total: 19
12-7
@ Washington Nationals
Aug 21, 2025 · Margin: -6 · Total: 12
3-9
@ Washington Nationals
Aug 20, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 9
4-5