Final Score: Blue Jays 3 - Marlins 5
Sunday, August 24, 2025 at 1:40 PM ET

Blue Jays @ Marlins

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Blue Jays
76-54 Rating 1534
Form: LWLWW
Model Probability
54%
46%
Projected margin: Toronto Blue Jays +0.4
Marlins
60-69 Rating 1467
Form: LLWLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Blue Jays Marlins
All-time wins 21 25
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.2 5.0
Last meeting 7 6

Key Season Stats

Stat Blue Jays Marlins
Games played 130 129
Avg runs scored 4.9 4.3
Avg runs conceded 4.5 4.8
Win percentage 58% 47%
Away win % / Home win % 51% 45%