Final Score: Blue Jays 1 - Pirates 2
Wednesday, August 20, 2025 at 12:35 PM ET
Blue Jays @ Pirates
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Blue Jays | Pirates |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 17 | 9 |
| Last 5 meetings | 3 | 2 |
| Average runs | 5.2 | 3.7 |
| Last meeting | 7 | 3 |
| Stat | Blue Jays | Pirates |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 127 | 127 |
| Avg runs scored | 4.9 | 3.5 |
| Avg runs conceded | 4.5 | 4.2 |
| Win percentage | 58% | 42% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 50% | 54% |
Recent Results
Blue Jays
@ Pittsburgh Pirates
Aug 19, 2025 · Margin: +4 · Total: 10
7-3
@ Pittsburgh Pirates
Aug 18, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 7
2-5
vs Texas Rangers
Aug 17, 2025 · Margin: -6 · Total: 14
4-10
vs Texas Rangers
Aug 16, 2025 · Margin: +12 · Total: 16
14-2
vs Texas Rangers
Aug 15, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 11
6-5
vs Chicago Cubs
Aug 14, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 3
2-1
vs Chicago Cubs
Aug 13, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 5
1-4
vs Chicago Cubs
Aug 12, 2025 · Margin: +4 · Total: 6
5-1
@ Los Angeles Dodgers
Aug 10, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 9
5-4
@ Los Angeles Dodgers
Aug 9, 2025 · Margin: -8 · Total: 10
1-9
Pirates
vs Toronto Blue Jays
Aug 19, 2025 · Margin: -4 · Total: 10
3-7
vs Toronto Blue Jays
Aug 18, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 7
5-2
@ Chicago Cubs
Aug 17, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 7
3-4
@ Chicago Cubs
Aug 16, 2025 · Margin: -2 · Total: 4
1-3
@ Chicago Cubs
Aug 15, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
@ Milwaukee Brewers
Aug 13, 2025 · Margin: -7 · Total: 17
5-12
@ Milwaukee Brewers
Aug 12, 2025 · Margin: -14 · Total: 14
0-14
@ Milwaukee Brewers
Aug 11, 2025 · Margin: -6 · Total: 8
1-7
vs Cincinnati Reds
Aug 10, 2025 · Margin: -6 · Total: 22
8-14
vs Cincinnati Reds
Aug 9, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 3
1-2