Final Score: Reds 2 - Pirates 1
Saturday, August 9, 2025 at 6:40 PM ET

Reds @ Pirates

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Reds
60-57 Rating 1495
Form: WWLLL
Model Probability
50%
50%
Projected margin: Cincinnati Reds +0.1
Pirates
51-66 Rating 1465
Form: WLLWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Reds Pirates
All-time wins 430 387
Last 5 meetings 1 4
Average runs 4.5 4.2
Last meeting 2 3

Key Season Stats

Stat Reds Pirates
Games played 117 117
Avg runs scored 4.5 3.6
Avg runs conceded 4.2 4.0
Win percentage 51% 44%
Away win % / Home win % 47% 56%