Final Score: Phillies 5 - Mets 6
Tuesday, August 26, 2025 at 7:10 PM ET

Phillies @ Mets

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Phillies
76-55 Rating 1552
Form: WLWWL
Model Probability
50%
50%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +0.1
Mets
70-61 Rating 1524
Form: LWWLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Phillies Mets
All-time wins 473 492
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.2 4.4
Last meeting 3 13

Key Season Stats

Stat Phillies Mets
Games played 131 131
Avg runs scored 4.7 4.6
Avg runs conceded 4.0 4.2
Win percentage 58% 53%
Away win % / Home win % 51% 64%