Final Score: Nationals 2 - Phillies 3
Sunday, August 24, 2025 at 1:35 PM ET

Nationals @ Phillies

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Nationals
53-76 Rating 1444
Form: LWWWL
Model Probability
34%
66%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +1.4
Phillies
75-54 Rating 1552
Form: WWWLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Nationals Phillies
All-time wins 461 504
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.2 4.4
Last meeting 4 6

Key Season Stats

Stat Nationals Phillies
Games played 129 129
Avg runs scored 4.3 4.8
Avg runs conceded 5.5 4.0
Win percentage 41% 58%
Away win % / Home win % 42% 65%