Final Score: Phillies 0 - Nationals 2
Saturday, August 16, 2025 at 4:05 PM ET

Phillies @ Nationals

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Phillies
70-52 Rating 1549
Form: WLLLW
Model Probability
59%
41%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +0.9
Nationals
49-73 Rating 1439
Form: LLWWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Phillies Nationals
All-time wins 502 459
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.4 4.2
Last meeting 6 2

Key Season Stats

Stat Phillies Nationals
Games played 122 122
Avg runs scored 4.6 4.3
Avg runs conceded 3.9 5.5
Win percentage 57% 40%
Away win % / Home win % 52% 38%