Final Score: Phillies 4 - Reds 1
Monday, August 11, 2025 at 6:10 PM ET
Phillies @ Reds
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Phillies | Reds |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 239 | 285 |
| Last 5 meetings | 3 | 2 |
| Average runs | 4.4 | 4.5 |
| Last meeting | 3 | 1 |
| Stat | Phillies | Reds |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 117 | 119 |
| Avg runs scored | 4.7 | 4.5 |
| Avg runs conceded | 3.9 | 4.2 |
| Win percentage | 58% | 52% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 53% | 56% |
Recent Results
Phillies
@ Texas Rangers
Aug 10, 2025 · Margin: +2 · Total: 6
4-2
@ Texas Rangers
Aug 9, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
@ Texas Rangers
Aug 8, 2025 · Margin: +8 · Total: 10
9-1
vs Baltimore Orioles
Aug 6, 2025 · Margin: -4 · Total: 6
1-5
vs Baltimore Orioles
Aug 5, 2025 · Margin: +5 · Total: 5
5-0
vs Baltimore Orioles
Aug 4, 2025 · Margin: +10 · Total: 16
13-3
vs Detroit Tigers
Aug 3, 2025 · Margin: +2 · Total: 2
2-0
vs Detroit Tigers
Aug 2, 2025 · Margin: -2 · Total: 12
5-7
vs Detroit Tigers
Aug 1, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 9
5-4
@ Chicago White Sox
Jul 30, 2025 · Margin: -6 · Total: 12
3-9
Reds
@ Pittsburgh Pirates
Aug 10, 2025 · Margin: +6 · Total: 22
14-8
@ Pittsburgh Pirates
Aug 9, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 3
2-1
@ Pittsburgh Pirates
Aug 8, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3
@ Pittsburgh Pirates
Aug 7, 2025 · Margin: -7 · Total: 7
0-7
@ Chicago Cubs
Aug 6, 2025 · Margin: -5 · Total: 7
1-6
@ Chicago Cubs
Aug 5, 2025 · Margin: +4 · Total: 6
5-1
@ Chicago Cubs
Aug 4, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
vs Atlanta Braves
Aug 2, 2025 · Margin: -2 · Total: 6
2-4
vs Atlanta Braves
Aug 1, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
vs Atlanta Braves
Jul 31, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 23
11-12