Final Score: Phillies 2 - Nationals 3
Thursday, August 14, 2025 at 6:45 PM ET

Phillies @ Nationals

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Phillies
69-51 Rating 1550
Form: WWWLL
Model Probability
60%
40%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +0.9
Nationals
48-72 Rating 1438
Form: WWLLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Phillies Nationals
All-time wins 501 458
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.4 4.2
Last meeting 2 4

Key Season Stats

Stat Phillies Nationals
Games played 120 120
Avg runs scored 4.6 4.3
Avg runs conceded 4.0 5.5
Win percentage 57% 40%
Away win % / Home win % 52% 38%