Final Score: Nationals 5 - Phillies 4
Friday, August 22, 2025 at 6:45 PM ET
Nationals @ Phillies
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Nationals | Phillies |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 460 | 503 |
| Last 5 meetings | 3 | 2 |
| Average runs | 4.2 | 4.4 |
| Last meeting | 9 | 11 |
| Stat | Nationals | Phillies |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 127 | 127 |
| Avg runs scored | 4.3 | 4.8 |
| Avg runs conceded | 5.5 | 4.0 |
| Win percentage | 41% | 58% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 42% | 66% |
Recent Results
Nationals
vs New York Mets
Aug 21, 2025 · Margin: +6 · Total: 12
9-3
vs New York Mets
Aug 20, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 9
5-4
vs New York Mets
Aug 19, 2025 · Margin: -7 · Total: 9
1-8
vs Philadelphia Phillies
Aug 17, 2025 · Margin: -2 · Total: 20
9-11
vs Philadelphia Phillies
Aug 16, 2025 · Margin: +2 · Total: 2
2-0
vs Philadelphia Phillies
Aug 15, 2025 · Margin: -4 · Total: 8
2-6
vs Philadelphia Phillies
Aug 14, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
@ Kansas City Royals
Aug 13, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 15
8-7
@ Kansas City Royals
Aug 12, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 13
5-8
@ Kansas City Royals
Aug 11, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 11
4-7
Phillies
vs Seattle Mariners
Aug 20, 2025 · Margin: +9 · Total: 13
11-2
vs Seattle Mariners
Aug 19, 2025 · Margin: +2 · Total: 10
6-4
vs Seattle Mariners
Aug 18, 2025 · Margin: +5 · Total: 19
12-7
@ Washington Nationals
Aug 17, 2025 · Margin: +2 · Total: 20
11-9
@ Washington Nationals
Aug 16, 2025 · Margin: -2 · Total: 2
0-2
@ Washington Nationals
Aug 15, 2025 · Margin: +4 · Total: 8
6-2
@ Washington Nationals
Aug 14, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3
@ Cincinnati Reds
Aug 13, 2025 · Margin: -8 · Total: 8
0-8
@ Cincinnati Reds
Aug 12, 2025 · Margin: -5 · Total: 7
1-6
@ Cincinnati Reds
Aug 11, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 5
4-1