Final Score: Mets 5 - Reds 4
Friday, September 5, 2025 at 6:40 PM ET
Mets @ Reds
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Mets | Reds |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 261 | 260 |
| Last 5 meetings | 2 | 3 |
| Average runs | 4.2 | 4.1 |
| Last meeting | 3 | 2 |
| Stat | Mets | Reds |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 140 | 140 |
| Avg runs scored | 4.8 | 4.5 |
| Avg runs conceded | 4.3 | 4.3 |
| Win percentage | 54% | 50% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 44% | 54% |
Recent Results
Mets
@ Detroit Tigers
Sep 3, 2025 · Margin: -4 · Total: 8
2-6
@ Detroit Tigers
Sep 2, 2025 · Margin: +7 · Total: 17
12-5
@ Detroit Tigers
Sep 1, 2025 · Margin: +2 · Total: 18
10-8
vs Miami Marlins
Aug 31, 2025 · Margin: -4 · Total: 6
1-5
vs Miami Marlins
Aug 30, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 19
8-11
vs Miami Marlins
Aug 29, 2025 · Margin: +10 · Total: 28
19-9
vs Miami Marlins
Aug 28, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 11
4-7
vs Philadelphia Phillies
Aug 27, 2025 · Margin: +6 · Total: 6
6-0
vs Philadelphia Phillies
Aug 26, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 11
6-5
vs Philadelphia Phillies
Aug 25, 2025 · Margin: +10 · Total: 16
13-3
Reds
vs Toronto Blue Jays
Sep 3, 2025 · Margin: -4 · Total: 22
9-13
vs Toronto Blue Jays
Sep 2, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 21
9-12
vs Toronto Blue Jays
Sep 1, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 9
5-4
vs St. Louis Cardinals
Aug 31, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 11
7-4
vs St. Louis Cardinals
Aug 30, 2025 · Margin: -2 · Total: 6
2-4
vs St. Louis Cardinals
Aug 29, 2025 · Margin: -2 · Total: 12
5-7
@ Los Angeles Dodgers
Aug 27, 2025 · Margin: -4 · Total: 6
1-5
@ Los Angeles Dodgers
Aug 26, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 9
3-6
@ Los Angeles Dodgers
Aug 25, 2025 · Margin: -7 · Total: 7
0-7
@ Arizona Diamondbacks
Aug 24, 2025 · Margin: +5 · Total: 7
6-1