Final Score: Blue Jays 4 - Reds 5
Monday, September 1, 2025 at 1:10 PM ET

Blue Jays @ Reds

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Blue Jays
79-58 Rating 1531
Form: LWLLW
Model Probability
51%
49%
Projected margin: Toronto Blue Jays +0.2
Reds
69-68 Rating 1493
Form: LLLLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Blue Jays Reds
All-time wins 17 10
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 6.0 3.8
Last meeting 7 11

Key Season Stats

Stat Blue Jays Reds
Games played 137 137
Avg runs scored 4.9 4.5
Avg runs conceded 4.5 4.2
Win percentage 58% 50%
Away win % / Home win % 50% 54%